Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.551817 3.054597 3.617576 4.292779 5.078571 5.962136 7.028719
2025-11-30 1.787549 2.413041 3.188990 4.214613 5.525882 7.136608 9.254106
2025-12-07 1.276285 1.910064 2.767551 3.996122 5.691536 7.926104 11.066563
2025-12-14 0.993724 1.625685 2.546412 3.957884 6.032285 8.927146 13.218856
2025-12-21 0.799476 1.417072 2.378217 3.941755 6.368274 9.923798 15.438060
2025-12-28 0.705813 1.340781 2.386347 4.174697 7.079163 11.509805 18.639226
2026-01-04 0.609486 1.237388 2.328374 4.284556 7.598819 12.845595 21.577391
2026-01-11 0.542390 1.170665 2.317160 4.462362 8.236927 14.412055 24.997807
2026-01-18 0.463571 1.064616 2.216883 4.466348 8.574786 15.515769 27.761846
2026-01-25 0.380798 0.932452 2.044865 4.312048 8.610979 16.110306 29.723890
2026-02-01 0.312862 0.816306 1.883128 4.150235 8.606895 16.622904 31.573022
2026-02-08 0.271073 0.749259 1.808870 4.146276 8.890129 17.655101 34.392353
2026-02-15 0.235227 0.689501 1.742607 4.154097 9.205893 18.790528 37.521482
2026-02-22 0.201143 0.626190 1.657837 4.110858 9.415096 19.747091 40.405457
2026-03-01 0.162956 0.542149 1.509880 3.906715 9.268857 20.010989 42.016435
2026-03-08 0.140239 0.495087 1.441837 3.872118 9.472461 20.967282 45.010441
2026-03-15 0.121846 0.455804 1.385986 3.857173 9.714726 22.016904 48.259165
2026-03-22 0.116055 0.454289 1.428429 4.085931 10.522900 24.281061 54.070418
2026-03-29 0.105963 0.436174 1.422871 4.193788 11.065177 26.033020 58.967086
2026-04-05 0.099182 0.427580 1.442410 4.368256 11.779382 28.200103 64.854551
2026-04-12 0.087697 0.399038 1.399399 4.372175 12.087230 29.516142 69.061659
2026-04-19 0.073484 0.355807 1.304190 4.220795 11.999657 29.958251 71.453932
2026-04-26 0.061275 0.316131 1.211649 4.062056 11.874060 30.301138 73.650582